A grand coalition is the worst possible evil
The group leaders now crouch in a small circle and decide what Parliament has to approve. At most, there is a little sham discussion with one or two pithy sentences for television and the print media, and that was it.
In a minority government, however, there would have to be a struggle for the consent of the various parties; this could take place in parliament, the positions, whether they were advanced or not, could be discussed and made available to the public.
The media blame Ms. Merkel for the fact that there were hardly any public, political discussions because of the grand coalition. They praised Mr. Schulz's predecessor, the brilliant Mr. Gabriel, for his commitment to the grand coalition. And now they are putting pressure on Schulz: state political responsibility, etc. It oozes hypocrisy.
For the SPD, the result of the grand coalition was a drastic loss of voters. But it can go even further downhill, the party can also land at ten percent. In France, Social Democracy is quite pulverized. So Schulz will withstand the pressure if he has some stature.
After the exploratory talks CDU / CSU, FDP and Greens have failed, I think there are only two options.
• minority government or
• GroKo.
I exclude new elections, because there are currently no justification for me. That's the way the Federal President sees it.
1. A minority government would in my opinion hardly manage to carry out a successful German policy.
In parliament we have about ¼ new MPs and at the same time with AfD and FDP 2 parties that have not been represented in parliament so far. Thus, there will be many new and controversial debates that will make the work of Parliament, on the one hand, and of governance, on the other, much more difficult.
Germany can not afford to show weaknesses for economic, domestic and foreign policy reasons. The current issues such as BREXIT, Europe, refugee crisis, etc. need solutions.
A minority government can never do that.
2. Of course, a GroKo was never my wish. But the voter has presented us with an election result that was almost to be expected. The previous GroKo has not solved the burning question of refugees and illegal migration. On the contrary! Only this failed policy has in my opinion helped the AfD to this success.
Merkel's policy of "We can do it!" (Supported by the SPD !!!) was doomed from the start. The Germans simply do not want Muslim immigration and immigration into social systems to that extent. Political radical Islamism has its roots in the medieval world view, which is inhumane towards dissenters and especially female-despising until today. The current debate about family reunification also shows that politics has not made it (even the media do not contribute) to make clear the difference between justified asylum and temporary subsidiary protection of the population.
Incidentally, it is precisely the previous family reunion that shows that it hinders integration. Oriental Muslim extended families have already built a parallel world in our cities. In this respect, I accept family reunification only with recognized asylum seekers.
3. So we need a government that solves the current problems. Otherwise the right will continue to increase; and nobody wants that.
With Merkel as a person it is unfortunately difficult. She has no solutions. Her policy has brought the CDU so far in the middle that too much space was created to her right. In Merkel you notice the typical Prussian-Protestant basic attitude, which had not existed in DEU before the turn. Also, I think that Merkel would have to consider Kohl's departure. At some point must be over!
4. The SPD is my opinion in the end. With a Schulz she has accelerated the departure even more. Who is "Schulz"? The man who, in addition to "social justice," had made European politics a topic in the election campaign, must ask himself what he did and what he did when he spent years in Brussels as president. Nothing! He was there only apparently "Quotendeutscher"!
How can one rule out a coalition on election night, where the election result was not even final.
One example is the glyphosate discussion.
If you are honest as a doctor, you have to admit that so far there is not a single (!!!) study worldwide and no evidence of cancer deaths that the drug is carcinogenic. Every year in DEU 20.000 people die from hospital germs! There is a need for action!
The real problem of glyphosate, however, lies in the siccation when used incorrectly. But in the media and in politics, this is hardly mentioned and perhaps not understood at all!
5. Actually, we would need a fresh start with new people in CDU / CSU and SPD. In the CDU, Merkel has succeeded in eliminating all unwelcome opponents in their own party. There are also quota women, but I have nothing against more women there; but they must first qualify through performance and expertise.
So I see in a GroKo currently the only (currently) possibility. But the losers have to go. My hope is not very big. All too tight. The SPD has no concept; Now she comes back with the citizens insurance! And the CDU wants at all costs the previous power. Are so synonymous lucrative items associated with it!
If there should be new elections, which I do not hope, we will probably find a similar situation, which will not make a solution easier. Only postponed! And then?